Aces vs Mystics Predictions, Picks & Odds – 6-29 (2024)

The Washington Mystics have been playing more respectable ball of late, and covering spreads, which gives us our WNBA picks pause for the Aces against such a huge margin.

The Las Vegas Aces look for their fourth straight win when they visit the Washington Mystics Saturday afternoon.

Vegas, the W’s 2-time reigning champs, will face a Mystics side playing its best ball of the season, having won four of six — though it’s all uphill for them after starting the year 0-12. Still, my Aces vs. Mystics prediction finds value in the massive underdogs.

Check my free WNBA picks, and I’ll tell you why you should be taking all those points.

Aces vs Mystics predictions

My best bet
Mystics +11.5 (-110 at DraftKings)

My analysis
Sitting fifth overall in the WNBA standings, Las Vegas Aces are looking to become the fifth team to hit double digit wins on the season.

They’re doing it with a relentless offense, which scores 87.7 points per contest, second only to the New York Liberty.

The Aces have been even more potent of late, scoring 94 or more points in three of their last four wins, including a 95-83 W over the Chicago Sky last time out.

Are they merely outscoring their problems? It’s a case you can make, since Vegas is Bottom 5 in scoring defense, allowing 84.5 points per game, and letting opponents cook from distance, giving up a league-worst 38.4% rate.

It’s something the Washington Mystics might be able to take advantage of, since they’ve levelled up after a brutal dozen games to start the year.

Over the last six games, Washington is putting up 88.5 points per game, a sample that would rank above what the Liberty are scoring in the top spot. That’s a monster jump from the 74.4 it posted in its winless start.

They’re also shooting 47% from the field and 40.9% from beyond the arc, crushing the 40.8% and 32.9% prior splits.

If they can score, they should be able to hang with the Aces. It will be their first of three meetings this season, but Washington has been a betting darling in this head-to-head.

The Mystics are a stellar 5-1-0 against the spread in the last six meetings, and they’ve been the betting underdog in every contest. They’re also 10-6-1 ATS on the season, which isn’t the mark of a team that should be in last place.

Vegas should win, but it’s only won by double digits twice in its last eight.

Aces vs Mystics same-game parlay (SGP)

Taking the WNBA’s leading scorer to put up a bunch of points just makes good betting sense.

That’s what we're doing with Aces star A’ja Wilson, who has a line of 27.5 Saturday afternoon. She’s coming off a 31-point gem in the win over Chicago and has hit the Over on this line in nine of her last 12 contests.

Wilson hung 40 in a game on the Mystics last season, her second-highest output of that season. Like clockwork, she'll be putting up numbers.

Who better to take advantage of that shoddy Aces 3-point D than the player who’s second in WNBA accuracy in Stefanie Dolson, hitting at a 47.6% clip on nearly five attempts per game?

The books left her line at a gettable 1.5 makes — a figure she’s crossed in five of her last six contests. In fact, Dolson has gone back-to-back games with four 3-point makes, including a 4-for-7 mark against the Connecticut Sun last time out.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Aces vs Mystics odds

Aces vs Mystics live odds

Get the latest Aces vs Mystics WNBA odds for tonight.

Aces vs Mystics opening odds

• Spread: Las Vegas -11.5 (-115) | Washington +11.5 (+101)
• Moneyline: Las Vegas -816 | Washington +622
• Over/Under: Over 172.5 (-109) | Under 172.5 (-107)

Aces vs Mystics spread and Over/Under analysis

• Washington is 7-3-0 against the spread in its last 10 vs. Las Vegas.
• The Aces have covered the spread three straight, all as betting favorites.
• The Under has hit in three of the last four head-to-head matchups.

Aces vs Mystics trend

Washington has won four of the last six against Las Vegas. Find more WNBA betting trends for Aces vs. Mystics.

Aces vs Mystics game info

Aces vs Mystics latest injuries

Aces: Kierstan Bell G (Out).
Mystics: Aaliyah Edwards F (Probable), Shakira Austin C (Out), Brittney Sykes G (Out), Karlie Samuelson G (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

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